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[bobf <bobford79 AT yahoo.com>]

Then don't listen to radio shows :-) .. I was thinking about as a child 
telling my father my thumb hurt because I hit it with ther hammer, and he 
replied "well, don't hit it with the hammer".  Those shows and websites are 
people just like you , me , and everyone else.  They are are guessing.

If we are in a true 'depression' then it isn't bad , like everyone claimed it 
would be.  Nationally, Unemployment is still under 8%, my neighbors still 
have BMWs and Mercedes, no homes in my neighborhood have been foreclosed -- 
and this is Phoenix, along with Las Vegas, and Miami, one of the three worst 
hit locations in the country.

Everyone on this list can still afford the internet;  Most everone I see, of 
every age, race, sex,  etc, is still walking around with a damn cellular 
telephone and talking to other people on their cellular telephones.

Things might become bad or even really , really bad, as many of the 'doom and 
gloom" crowd are predicting.  or; maybe they won't be quite so bad; or mayber 
this or maybe that.  The people I hear crying loudest that the seventh circle 
of hell is about to envelope, have been missing life for the past twenty 
years while they predicted, wrongly, the same thing. 

 Now, they just might be right, but many of them  are also hoping to see 
others suffer , and thinking that will somehow make them happier and their 
life  better.  That never works .

I read a lot of the same sites as you, but I don't 'listen' to the loud 
voices-- I can't stand it when loud people talk over other loud people.  It 
is vulgar and aesthetically, to my hearing, completely unappealling.

I can read thru, quickly, a web site or web post, and delete in an instant if 
I find it without merit, for me.  I won't listen to loudmouths long enough to 
make a decision on their merit.

Hyper-inflation; dis-inflation; stag-flation; deflatiobn; who knows.  I 
certainly care and if I thought someone knew which direction and when I would 
become their disciple.  No one knows, even the smart ones are guessing.  I 
listened to Krugman and Roubini, and others on Meet The Press this am.  They 
are much better eduacted than me, so I guess that their guesses would be 
better educated guesses than mine, but they don't even have the same guesses 
as each other.  

Anway, you stated your opinion and mine is that my opinion is likely as wrong 
as the next person's.  I think, where you are, with the people you are with, 
doing wehat you are doing is smart, regardless of which guesses by which 
group of prognosticators becomes true.

When I see certain neighborhoods in Connescticut ablaze, or certain streets 
in NYC, I'll think life might become a little more difficult for the rich.  
So far, it looks like it is going to become "bargain hunting time" for the 
people with resources.  

I just wish I could be 21 again, but wishes don't work much better than 
guesses.  Keep me informed and your ideals ; political; gardening, and 
otherwise.

You are a smart lady , who is finding her own way; maybe you will end up 
helping me find mine  :-)

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--- On Sun, 2/22/09, Leslie <cayadopi AT yahoo.com> wrote:

> BTW, I've been thinking 3 years window before TSHTF....
>
 but yesterday listened to a radio show, and the thinking is
> hyperinflationary effects may start to appear earlier (as in
> a year).  From a person who acknowledges depression
> currently.  Personally, I was thinking it wouldn't get
> underway until the mortgage defaults etc wind up, that the
> banks would hoard to gov't bailout money until then. 
> But maybe Obama's plan will bypass and flood other areas
> with $$ first.
>