livingontheland@lists.ibiblio.org
Subject: Healthy soil and sustainable growing
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- From: "John D'hondt" <dhondt@eircom.net>
- To: "Healthy soil and sustainable growing" <livingontheland@lists.ibiblio.org>
- Subject: Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation
- Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2011 23:20:59 +0100
Paul, we are basically in complete agreement about all this. Sea water levels should rise with global warming. I bought my property 25 years ago with an eye to that effect :) (the lowest part of our land is at around 400 feet elevation). But ice is melting everywhere and I can't see any difference in sea level yet. Up to a hundred years ago "The Anker" in Bantry was around the high high water line. It is still above water today.
One thing to be careful with is stating that we should not throw out science. I agree with that but realise full well that many scientists are now involved in intellectual prostitution. At least the ones that want to keep their jobs. I agree that industrial agriculture can not feed the world right now but ask an ag scientist and he or she will 9 times out of ten tell you this is because there is not enough gmo yet.
john
As a reminder the underlying issue in this is the future of agriculture and coping with possible changes in whatever affects it. It's true there's a lot we don't know. But I don't take that as a signal to throw out science and deny what we do know. One thing we already know is that industrial agriculture cannot feed the world right now.
paul tradingpost@lobo.net
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/11/2011 at 9:44 PM Tradingpost wrote:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/globalwarming.html#q9
states:
"Global mean sea level has been rising at an average rate of 1.7
mm/year (plus or minus 0.5mm) over the past 100 years, which is
significantly larger than the rate averaged over the last several thousand
years."
Not speculative. And I seriously doubt Al Gore is dictating policy to
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data
Center. Same goes for all the other links. I welcome differences of views
but please research the subject and weigh the credibility of sources and
who's paying them to say what. I do not support the "look out the window
and see if the sea level is rising" approach to the science.
And the U.S. Geological Survey at
http://www.nwrc.usgs.gov/factshts/fs91_97.pdf
"The rate of global sealevel rise is expected to accelerate during the
next century as atmospheric temperatures continue to increase."
What's important in this IMHO is to use and study and challenge the
science instead of just dissing it with ideological blinders. I mean, we
still see some who demand we accept the sun goes around the earth because
the Bible says so.
paul tradingpost@lobo.net
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/10/2011 at 11:26 AM paul@oneseedling.com wrote:
The National Geographic link is mostly speculating what would happenhttp://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2004/04/0420_040420_earthday.html
"if". There has been no rise of ocean 4-8in in the US.
The second link is also speculating on effects of rising levels on
marshland in Louisana. The graph actually shows the swamp rose instead of
fell.
The third link is also speculating on what "if" however it is more fact
based showing a very slight rise in sea levels. However archeological
evidence at least in the Mediterranean shows a fall in sea levels at
around 50 ft from Greek Classical era.
The fourth link is also speculative heavy on the what if with some nice
temperature charts thrown in. Gotta remember we have only been recording
accurate temperatures for around 200 years.
Sorry, the last two links didn't work on my computer.
So I still say that as far as I can see the ocean rise thing is mostly
speculative. I looked at so old pictures of Florence and compared them to
modern pictures and it was a mixed bad, some higher some lower which leads
me to believe that those are foundation problems.
Indications are that places like Bangladesh are sinking but that is due to
subduction of their subcontinent. Some islands in the Indian Ocean and in
the Pacific have lost coastline but this appears to be related to natural
sinking of volcanic islands
Climate change is good business, just as Al Gore.
Paul the Skeptic
On Jun 9, 2011, at 10:46 PM, "Tradingpost" <tradingpost@lobo.net> wrote:
lie like no tomorrow, and the moneybags come from the likes of Exxon-Mobil
They can always pay some "expert" who isn't even a climate scientist to
and other big polluters who stand to lose money if climate science is
taken seriously. But these are credible websites:
carbonhttp://www.nwrc.usgs.gov/factshts/fs91_97.pdfhttp://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/235402/global-warming/274850/Ice-melt-and-sea-level-rise
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/globalwarming.html#q9
http://www.nature.nps.gov/geology/coastal/gw_slr.cfm
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15774757around
paul tradingpost@lobo.net
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/9/2011 at 8:35 PM paul@oneseedling.com wrote:
I guess the only question is where is the sea rising. No evidence on
either coast of the US. Area around New Orleans is sinking but area
ofCorpus Christi the same.
Paul the Skeptic
On Jun 9, 2011, at 4:53 PM, "Tradingpost" <tradingpost@lobo.net> wrote:
were
Qui bono. I'd question the source of any such "documentaries".
paul tradingpost@lobo.net
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/9/2011 at 9:26 PM John D'hondt wrote:
That is one of the things that worry me Paul. There should be a
measurable
and fast rise in sea level but I have seen whole documentaries
explaining/proving that exactly the opposite is happening. I wish I
certain myself but confusion rules.
john
OK with me, I'm just judging from the amount of sea ice melting.
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/8/2011 at 10:14 PM John D'hondt wrote:
Just replying to the last paragraph Paul. There is a hell of a lot
arise orconfusion at the moment. It is not easy to see whether sea levels
onlyfall when the tidal differences are huge in comparison. I have seen
scientific articles going in either direction and the last one from
a
few weeks ago measured sea levels with gps and satellites and found
levelsdrop.
Time will tell if we are still around.
john
to the question "why panic if we should move towards the same
scientistsof
climategreen
house gas as in the Carboniferous?"
it would destroy civilization and most species adapted to modern
including humans of course
sea water is rising slowly, and if the sun was hotter some
includesomewhere would be telling us and others would be verifying it
paul tradingpost@lobo.net
*********** REPLY SEPARATOR ***********
On 6/7/2011 at 7:42 PM John D'hondt wrote:
The models are based on human emissions alone, and do not
heat-amplifying feedbacks from melting ice or changes in
thethatsinks.
When those are factored in, it moves the timetable forward so
said.scenario""reaching four degrees by 2060 is a plausible, worst-case
with
the median being 2070. By 2100, 5.5 degrees is possible, he
closeIf it only includes human emissions and doesn't consider melting
hydrates, permafrost decay, or feedbacks, then it isn't even
mightto
becausethe worst case scenario.
Everyone is so afraid to speak the whole truth on this topic
the
whole truth is worse than the "alarmists".
Dan C.
I could not agree more Dan. Imo most people, even scientists,
extremelynot
be
able to take the whole truth. Our species is very good at
isover
simplified dichotomies. Most are by now convinced climate change
taking
place. Ice is melting everywhere. But is that our fault? Or is
Byzantiumwassun
wereindeed putting out more enery?
Worst case scenario is if both are right at the same time. There
times
on earth that CO2 levels were higher than they are now and life
ofabundant. So why panic if we should move towards the same levels
isallgreen
house gas as in the Carboniferous?
If at the same time the sun puts out more energy we may very well
10 mmlevelsget
fried is why.
So many factors are still uncertain, ice is melting and sea water
should be rising. Instead we seem to have had a sea level drop of
manyin
just a few years according to some research and this scares me
seriously.
If that research is correct then where did all that water (many,
responsiblecubic
miles of water) go?
It is almost a certainty that if both humans and the sun are
that we may loose all water on Earth eventually. Just maybe this
peoplewhat
is
happening already. And maybe this is the reason that serious
Waterhave
the
luxury to still be discussing temperature rises in single digits.
while.escaping the atmosphere would have a serious cooling effect for a
Nothing new here, at the very moment the Turks attacking
onewere
breaking down the gates of that city the theologians inside where
discussing
with vigour the question of how many angels could dance at the
time
of aon
the point of a needle.
In a real worst case scenario we may be getting temperature rises
_______________________________________________few
hundred degrees.
John
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-
Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation
, (continued)
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/09/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Pete Vukovich, 06/09/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/09/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, paul, 06/09/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/09/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Harvey Ussery, 06/10/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, paul, 06/10/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/11/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/12/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, John D'hondt, 06/12/2011
- Re: [Livingontheland] Four Degrees of Devastation, Tradingpost, 06/12/2011
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