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[Gene GeRue <genegerue AT ruralize.com>]

> >

I said:

> > . No one, no one has a crystal ball.

James heroically replied:
> >
> When you eliminate the cheerleaders and the whistlers-past-the- 
> graveyard,
> there are a great many that have been more than fifty-one percent  
> correct, many
> 85% or 90% correct.

To which I reply:

Yes, for a short period of time. They tout that for decades, during  
those years when they are accruing their mistakes. Newsletter  
publishers they become, cashing in on the time they got it right.

One more time: no one has a crystal ball. Good luck following those  
whom you believe do have one.