Homestead mailing list

[bob ford <bobford79 AT yahoo.com>]

Perhaps you are right, but I still think the numbers work out for Obama to 
win and win big.  You are correct that younger voters are unreliable; but I 
still believe that once they've given money they are much more likely to 
vote.  And, a lot of his donations came from middle age, middle of the road 
democrats, and he has registered a record number of new democrats for this 
campaign.

I don't really care, but I don't see how Obama can lose. But,  I'm voting for 
Ron Paul and he is not going to be president, so what do I know........bobford


--- On Sat, 8/30/08, Lynda <lurine AT softcom.net> wrote:

> From: Lynda <lurine AT softcom.net>
> Subject: Re: [Homestead] Dream Fulfilled?
> To: bobford79 AT yahoo.com, homestead AT lists.ibiblio.org
> Date: Saturday, August 30, 2008, 5:40 PM
> No, he can't count on those folks voting.  Historically,
> folks who join the 
> "party" atmosphere and who are young, have an
> inclination to stop 
> participating just short of the finish line.  That was fun,
> the caucases 
> were fun, sending in $5 through YouTube was fun.  One big
> party.
> 
> Folks over 50 and, in particular, those over 60 are the
> most likely to vote.
> 
> He's counting on a voting block that generally
> doesn't make it to the actual 
> voting booth in large numbers which is the only place that
> counts.  They can 
> go to caucases and send in their $5 through YouTube till
> The Eagles get back 
> together again and it doesn't mean prunes.
> 
> Lynda
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "bob ford" <bobford79 AT yahoo.com>
> 
> 
> > In your example, you are correct.  I'm saying that
> it is all about 
> > numbers.  Obama already has the numbers in registered
> democrats. He should 
> > win easily.  Democrats always have a gender edge with
> women and women make 
> > up more than 50% of the vote.
> >
> > He has more registered democrats than there are
> registered republicans, he
> > has the gender numbers , because more women than men
> vote.  He has 
> > practically one hundred percent of the black vote.
> >
> > If you do the numbers, for the electoral votes, the
> only way he can lose 
> > (that I can figure) is if white democrats vote for
> Mccain.  voting for the 
> > green party is not the same as voting for mccain.
> >
> > This is especially significant in the
> 'battleground' states like Michigan 
> > and Pennsylvania.  Democrats far outnumber republicans
> and women outnumber 
> > men
> >
> >  I'm not saying this is the outcome I expect.  I
> expect Obama to win 
> > handily.  But, if he loses, hidden racism among white
> democrats is the
> > only logical reason.
> >
> > **** I have worked on two victorious gubernatorial
> campaigns, and did a 
> > stint working for a sitting U.S. Senator.  One thing I
> remember is that if 
> > you can get someone to donate even a dollar, they are
> usually yours for 
> > life.
> >
> > Most people are overlooking the significance of the
> hundreds of thousands 
> > of small donations Obama received in the primary.  The
> money, there, 
> > really isn't the point.  Obama is being funded and
> presented by the 
> > bankers and other wizards that always sit behind the
> scene.  But, he can 
> > count on those people who donated money, in any
> amount, to vote for him.
> >
> > I don't see how he can lose, other that what I
> stated before.  Of course, 
> > this is just my opinion.....bobford