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[Leslie <cayadopi AT yahoo.com>]

But, it allso look like it takes 5 months to confirm that one week change.  

" Monthly average SSTs will have to remain above 1.0°C for five consecutive 
months in order for this to be considered a "moderate" El Niño event."

And it seems that a stronger El Nino winters makes for even colder winters, 
which is what she is calling for.


 
> Appears that we are going to have weak El Nino conditions this winter -
> not good for the whole US.

You can toss that one away.  The El Nino condition has already moved to
Moderate from weak.  It is considered moderate when sea surface temperatures
are one degree C above normal.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1363

Don Bowen  KI6DIU
New ruralize pages, follow the link off http://www.ruralize.com
http://www.braingarage.com/Dons/Travels/journal/Journal.html

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Subject: Re: [Homestead] Evelyn Garriss this winter forecast....




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As long as she repeats the stuff about a cooling trend from 1998 everything
else is suspect.

Don Bowen  KI6DIU
New ruralize pages, follow the link off http://www.ruralize.com
http://www.braingarage.com/Dons/Travels/journal/Journal.html