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[Shepperd <shepperd AT mail2.pvco.net>]

I see what Blue Dog Buckeye Dem posted on Daily Kos, but don't know 
where he found his data.  The Zogby site has this: Obama 50.1%, McCain 43.1%
http://www.zogby.com/main.htm
and makes the point that there has been virtually no change for 
several days.  A new poll will be posted at 1:00am.

Reuters has the same data:
http://www.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage/2008candidates

More interesting are the Undecided voters.  Zogby has an average of 7 
percentage points between Obama and McCain, with 6.8% undecided.  In 
normal circumstances, one expects the undecided to vote according to 
their demographics.  For example, undecided middle-age white males 
will tend to vote the way other middle-age white males 
vote.  Undecided young black females will tend to vote as other young 
black females.  The same for other demographics. The pollsters fear, 
in this election, that the majority of those who say they are 
undecided may have decided, but aren't telling pollsters how they 
will vote.  If they vote largely for McCain, this will drastically 
change the outcome of the election from what the pollsters 
predict.  And the pollsters hope to be close to the actual outcome, 
so they can sell their polls for the next election.

Jerry Shepperd


At 10:02 PM 10/31/2008, you wrote:
> Daily Kos is a very off-the-charts wierdo site with lots of foul 
> language and very little rational thought.  I read it, 
> occasionally,  to see what the real 'nuts' on the left are thinking; .
>
>  They have a Zogby poll that just came out (tonight ) showing 
> McCain ahead by one point.  I don't understand these polls at 
> all.  I have heard, all day, long, that Obama is cruising for 
> almost a Reaganesque landslide.  Anyway, if you visit the site, the 
> language can be profane . ....bobford
>
> "Zogby has McCain ahead 48-47 . . .
> by Blue Dog Buckeye Dem
> Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 07:22:34 PM PDT"
>
>
> http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/31/22111/826







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