Homestead mailing list

[Clansgian AT wmconnect.com]

>Oh, lord no, you will be hounded to extinction. If you think you are,  
reveal it to no person.


Not when you limit your expertise to an audience of one.  There are two types 
of scholarship involved.  

One is where we say  Mr Zilch is an expert.  He is a certified, recognized, 
card carrying expert so whatever he says, we take that to be the best 
available 
information.

The other is where we say Mr Zilch has presented these figures, these 
precedents, this logic, and suggests this conclusion.  You can see the 
figures for 
yourself and verify them if you like, you can try the logic yourself, and see 
if 
it stands ... especially so if Mr Zilch has communicated well and made 
himself understood.

The type of "expert" I am refering to is the latter.

> 
> >See? He was an expert. He foolishly made a prediction, which experts  
> >are expected, nay, demanded to do to retain their title. And so he  
> >did. And he made a m i s t a k e. Bury the bloke.

That's the point, Gene.  He didn't make a mistake.  Not even a  m i s t a k e 
 nor even a   m  i  s  t  a  k  e.  He deliberately published misinformation. 
CERA is the mouthpiece of the energy industry and funded by them.  Their 
conclusions are bought and paid for.  Not once has Yergin nor CERA published 
a 
retraction of their periodic and regular reports that there will be plenty of 
oil 
and that a sharp rise in production is just around the corner.  They're still 
doing it.

It's much like the NAR reports of the past two and half years.  All the 
analysis from the country's foremost experts (them) shows that housing 
prices, 
sales, and starts  will show a sharp upturn next quarter (er, next quarter, 
ok 
then, next quarter ... etc).  It's a great time to buy!!
   </HTML>