[internetworkers] immediate reactions
biglee at haslups.com
Sun Oct 3 13:59:36 EDT 2004
James Dasher wrote:
> I forget who it was - a general, possibly 19th century? but not
> American, I don't think - who said, "War is a series of catastrophes
> resulting in victory."
His name was Georges Clemenceau and, amusingly, he was French. He was,
among other things, the Prime Minister during WWI. You can read about
him at http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/FWWclemenceau.htm
> As to reactions the the debate, rather than reactions to the reactions
> of the reactions to the reaction to the war in Iraq: polls are
> starting to come out that Kerry's picked up a couple points, and Bush
> dropped a couple; though at least one poll says Kerry picked up a
> point and Bush none. But those are nation-wide, and comments on this
> thread have already started on them.
The poll everyone seems to be talking about is the Newsweek poll and it
remains to be seen how well their results line up with subsequent
polling. While I wouldn't accuse them or bias or anything they seem to
have been the victim of one of those coincidences. If you look at the
breakdown of their sample into Democrats and Republicans it appears that
this week's poll has more Dems and fewer Reps than last week's poll that
showed Bush ahead. The difference is only a few percent but it is
enough to explain 100% of the difference in the results. I suppose one
could argue that Bush did so badly in the debate that 6% of all
Republicans changed their mind, not just about him, but about party
affiliation as well. If so subsequent polling should show it.
> If anybody's seen some battelground state polls - please, nothing from
> the DNC, RNC, MoveOn.org, SwiftVets, or whoever - share the link!
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