[internetworkers] 50/50/50 clue-by-four request
Michael D. Thomas
mdthomas at mindspring.com
Fri Jul 30 17:08:45 EDT 2004
> >I'm basing my projection based on a statistical model that develops
> >Michael Moore's theories about a 50/50/50 split in American politics.
> Okay I might be the last INW subscriber that hasn't gone to see
> 411 yet, can I get a link or explaination on this reference ? I want
> know about other possibler "strategeries" for this game.
Moore says the nation isn't 50/50, but 50/50/50: 50 red, 50 blue and 50
Moore believes that there is going to be a massive increase in voter
turnout this year. I believe this, too.
Moore also believes that the polls that we see are flawed b/c they poll
people with a history of voting. (I don't know enough about polling to
agree or disagree.)
Assuming that the large polls are flawed, and aren't properly accounting
for the new voters, the question is: how will the new voters vote?
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