[Homestead] Obama's lead narrowing ?

bob ford bobford79 at yahoo.com
Sun Oct 19 20:41:45 EDT 2008


I have heard politcal professionals say that he needs to go into the polls wth at least a 6 point lead.  In the first "bradley effect", the day of the election, Bradley was up by 10 mpoints but lost by 2 points. 

 Who knows.   With this economic mess, they just want to punish "Bush" and since he is republican, the people want to punish republicans; that should, by default, give Obama the win..  I want to punish them all ...bobford


--- On Sun, 10/19/08, EarthNSky <erthnsky at bellsouth.net> wrote:

> From: EarthNSky <erthnsky at bellsouth.net>
> Subject: Re: [Homestead] Obama's lead narrowing ?
> To: bobford79 at yahoo.com, homestead at lists.ibiblio.org
> Date: Sunday, October 19, 2008, 6:36 PM
> bob ford wrote:
> 
> > If Obama ends up with a three point lead in the polls
> the day of the
> > election, McCain will win.  There are at least that
> many democrats
> > who will say they are voting for Obama , but in the
> privacy of the
> > voting booth, will not because he is black.
> 
> I have not heard that the race was tightening, but I
> believe that Obama 
> will need at least 5%.  I suppose I think the percentage of
> 
> 'votechangers' will be higher, mainly because
> senior citizens always 
> turn out in higher percentages than young people and that
> 'I just can't 
> vote for a black man' belief is more prevalent in the
> senior community 
> than in other generations.  He may need more than that if
> young people 
> fail to show up to vote for Obama.
> 
> -- 
> “Fear is the path to the Dark Side. Fear leads to anger.
> Anger leads to
> hate. Hate leads to suffering.”        Yoda

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