[Homestead] New commentary on economic mess
bobford79 at yahoo.com
Thu Oct 16 06:20:22 EDT 2008
First, please understand that Jim Sinclair is a long term "gold bug". His viewpoint is contraian, generally, to mainstream market thinkers. But, a lot of smart people listen to him. And, he is one of the people to first start shouting about the mess we are in , now. he did so long before recent events.
However, since he is a 'gold bug', he hasn't really believed in the dollar since 1974. "Even a stopped clock is right , twice a day". With that information about him, take his prediction as you please. Incidentally, he is a commodities and precious metals trader, so some of his outlook is for those people. I am just posting his commentary his opinion of the general outlook on the near future. ....bobford
We are apt to shut our eyes against a painful truth... For my part, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst; and to provide for it. --Patrick Henry
Posted On: Wednesday, October 15, 2008, 9:28:00 PM EST
Author: Jim Sinclair
There is one simple but extremely dangerous error being made by the man who is the world's greatest expert on the time period and economics of the Great Depression, Dr. Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
The Chairman is an expert on the history and consequences of that period. He is being guided by this deep knowledge, yet is totally oblivious to the consequences of the alternative actions he is taking to not make the same errors as the 30s. This is all in his attempt to prevent his president from going down in history along with other failed economic leaders.
The unprecedented creation of infinite dollars for the purpose of flooding the world's entire financial system is causing the birth an inflation of types unknown in a modern economy.
The test case for the CONSEQUENCES of present united central bank actions is the history of the Weimar Republic, but this time it is on a planetary basis.
CONSEQUENCES cannot be avoided by any means. They are economic equal and opposing forces. That is simple fact.
In an attempt to avoid what the Chairman see as consequences of incorrect central bank action in the 1929 - 1933 period, he is creating new and infinitely more dangerous, longer lasting, society changing, politically provocative new sets of unexpected economic CONSEQUENCES.
The only number that might compare to the nominal value of all OTC derivatives is a count of all the individual plankton in all the oceans of the world and then only maybe.
The world will never be the same because of the greed of these 29 year olds and the old goat bosses who sat at the long desk of the board of directors while looking the other way.
As a result of "This is it and It is NOW":
US exchanges will be closed. There is a chance all world exchanges will close down. Only gold and currencies which are planetary markets will continue to trade.
Retirement programs will not pay off.
Medicare and Medicaid will at best buy you a bandage or pay for 1/4 of a visit to a free clinic.
Social security, due to the massive upcoming inflation, will provide no security for any society.
Money Market Funds will not pay off.
A CD is a gift, but not to you.
Unified central bank action has a short life.
Central banks will soon revert to the strategy of everyone for themselves.
401Ks not self directed are headed for the toilet forever.
Exchange Traded Funds will not return the assets upon which it is based to you.
Sliver will demonstrate the fact that it is more industrial a metal than precious.
Silver is not a currency because it is simply too HEAVY to settle debts or to be universally fungible.
Silver performs best when there is reasonable industrial demand and distrust of currency. When this happens rounding up the gang and their money will have a lot to do with which party is elected.
Credit card companies are going to have to be bailed out.
GE Capital is a nuclear capable entity that has the capacity to take down the good old toaster and refrigerator manufacturer - SIGMA ZERO.
GE Capital is a huge OTC derivative dealer but somehow I do not recall that fact being discussed.
Gold is the only Honest Money because it has no liability attached to it.
Gold coins are the best way to own gold for the average investor.
When you select a junior gold, I would look for the highest quality, most bashed, highest short positioned, with real assets and real people devoid of pussy management. The situation is best if it is based in another country than the country you live in while doing business in a third and trading in multiple areas. The benefit is obvious.
Nobody ever did or will ever trade items as insurance. That is a form of madness.
At $1650 I will take my leave, having been with you to the point I promised.
The only place you will find me then is at my place of business on the ground or the web.
There is no question that gold will trade at or above $1650 by January 14th, 2011.
Thomas Jefferson, the author of America’s Declaration of Independence, understood the threat posed by central banks:
"The central bank is an institution of the most deadly hostility existing against the Principles and form of our Constitution… Bankers are more dangerous than standing armies… [and] If the American People allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the People of all their Property until their Children will wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered."
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