[Homestead] McCain now ahead ? Daily Kos. New Poll out
Shepperd
shepperd at mail2.pvco.net
Sat Nov 1 00:11:00 EDT 2008
I see what Blue Dog Buckeye Dem posted on Daily Kos, but don't know
where he found his data. The Zogby site has this: Obama 50.1%, McCain 43.1%
http://www.zogby.com/main.htm
and makes the point that there has been virtually no change for
several days. A new poll will be posted at 1:00am.
Reuters has the same data:
http://www.reuters.com/news/globalcoverage/2008candidates
More interesting are the Undecided voters. Zogby has an average of 7
percentage points between Obama and McCain, with 6.8% undecided. In
normal circumstances, one expects the undecided to vote according to
their demographics. For example, undecided middle-age white males
will tend to vote the way other middle-age white males
vote. Undecided young black females will tend to vote as other young
black females. The same for other demographics. The pollsters fear,
in this election, that the majority of those who say they are
undecided may have decided, but aren't telling pollsters how they
will vote. If they vote largely for McCain, this will drastically
change the outcome of the election from what the pollsters
predict. And the pollsters hope to be close to the actual outcome,
so they can sell their polls for the next election.
Jerry Shepperd
At 10:02 PM 10/31/2008, you wrote:
>Daily Kos is a very off-the-charts wierdo site with lots of foul
>language and very little rational thought. I read it,
>occasionally, to see what the real 'nuts' on the left are thinking; .
>
> They have a Zogby poll that just came out (tonight ) showing
> McCain ahead by one point. I don't understand these polls at
> all. I have heard, all day, long, that Obama is cruising for
> almost a Reaganesque landslide. Anyway, if you visit the site, the
> language can be profane . ....bobford
>
>"Zogby has McCain ahead 48-47 . . .
>by Blue Dog Buckeye Dem
>Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 07:22:34 PM PDT"
>
>
>http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/10/31/22111/826
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